Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.000120 0.000132 0.000146 0.000161 0.000178 0.000197 0.000219
2025-07-06 0.000092 0.000109 0.000129 0.000154 0.000184 0.000220 0.000265
2025-07-13 0.000079 0.000098 0.000123 0.000154 0.000196 0.000248 0.000320
2025-07-20 0.000070 0.000091 0.000119 0.000157 0.000209 0.000278 0.000379
2025-07-27 0.000062 0.000084 0.000113 0.000156 0.000216 0.000301 0.000430
2025-08-03 0.000057 0.000080 0.000111 0.000158 0.000228 0.000330 0.000494
2025-08-10 0.000052 0.000074 0.000106 0.000156 0.000232 0.000349 0.000543
2025-08-17 0.000048 0.000070 0.000102 0.000154 0.000237 0.000368 0.000596
2025-08-24 0.000044 0.000065 0.000098 0.000151 0.000240 0.000383 0.000643
2025-08-31 0.000040 0.000060 0.000093 0.000147 0.000238 0.000392 0.000679
2025-09-07 0.000037 0.000058 0.000091 0.000147 0.000245 0.000415 0.000743
2025-09-14 0.000035 0.000056 0.000090 0.000149 0.000255 0.000444 0.000823
2025-09-21 0.000033 0.000053 0.000086 0.000146 0.000256 0.000458 0.000878
2025-09-28 0.000029 0.000049 0.000080 0.000140 0.000251 0.000461 0.000913
2025-10-05 0.000028 0.000047 0.000079 0.000140 0.000259 0.000489 0.001003
2025-10-12 0.000027 0.000045 0.000078 0.000142 0.000269 0.000525 0.001114
2025-10-19 0.000025 0.000043 0.000076 0.000141 0.000274 0.000548 0.001202
2025-10-26 0.000024 0.000042 0.000076 0.000143 0.000285 0.000586 0.001331
2025-11-02 0.000022 0.000040 0.000073 0.000141 0.000287 0.000606 0.001418
2025-11-09 0.000021 0.000039 0.000071 0.000140 0.000291 0.000628 0.001517
2025-11-16 0.000020 0.000037 0.000069 0.000137 0.000291 0.000644 0.001599
2025-11-23 0.000019 0.000035 0.000066 0.000133 0.000287 0.000649 0.001656
2025-11-30 0.000018 0.000034 0.000064 0.000133 0.000294 0.000679 0.001786